GLOBAL WARMING - 
2003 - 2004 - 2005 - 2006 - 2007
-2008

compiled by Dee Finney

DO NOT BE FOOLED! GLOBAL WARMING DOES NOT COME FROM FOSSIL FUELS!
MARS AND PLUTO ARE ALSO EXPERIENCING GLOBAL WARMING!
NOBODY BURNS COIL, OIL, OR OTHER FUELS THERE:
THEREFORE GLOBAL WARMING IS COMING FROM ANOTHER 'OUTER' SOURCE!

SEE:  AN INCONVENIENT TRUTH
A MUST-SEE FILM

Pangnirtung, a village on Canada's Baffin Island, had rain and temperatures in the 40s last month,
 when minus-20 degrees is normal.

  

4-25-04 - DREAM :  I had a global warming dream this morning, you will find interesting:

 I was in my living room, which was sunken and I was trying clean while walking around in 4" of water, and water was falling from the ceiling and my hair was in my face and wet and I was a wreck, wet and cold and getting angry at not being able to control the water which was everywhere.

 Someone suggested I go shopping, so I went to buy a coat. They had an awesome black and white diamond patterned raincoat in a size 21 -  the only one one there was - The pattern was a swirling one - like a whirlwind. I held it up against myself and it only covered 1/4 of me. I was very upset that the only coats that would fit me were bright yellow.

 So, I went home and a friend suggested we go to the library. She left ahead of me and I followed her up a flight of stairs and along a long, long hallway with doors leading to other rooms along the way. When I got to the other end without catching up to her, there were people standing around, even standing inside the elevator, which wasn't moving - waiting to go home. So I headed back down the hallway, thinking I might have missed my friend in one of those rooms.  Half way back I came to an area where Christmas presents had been left for people but not picked up. Prominent amongst the gifts  was a large silver crock pot.  I reached out to pick up the crock pot and take it home and it started showing me messages which were:  

 "France cannot control warming."
 "US awards warming contract to INESCOE"
 "INESCOE cannot control warming."
 "US DECIMATES WARMING"
 "US controls warming."
 
 End of Dream.
 
 My question: How can the US decimate warming?  What does that mean exactly?

SEE:  UNESCO: global warming links

 

Massive ice shelf on verge of breakup

  • Story Highlights
  • A large chunk of the Wilkins ice shelf in Antarctica broke away last month
    Only a narrow strip of ice is protecting the shelf from further breakup
    "I didn't expect to see things happen this quickly," scientist says
    Ice shelves are floating ice sheets attached to the coast

    (CNN) -- Some 220 square miles of ice has collapsed in Antarctica and an ice shelf about the size of Connecticut is "hanging by a thread," the British Antarctic Survey said Tuesday, blaming global warming.

    art.wilkins.collapse.jpg

    Scientists say the size of the threatened shelf is about 5,282 square miles.

     

    Satellite images of the Wilkins Ice Shelf in the West Antarctic Peninsula where a huge 160-square-mile-chunk of ice disintegrated between February 28 and March 8, 2008. The ice section that broke away measured 25-miles-long (41 kilometers) by 1.5-miles-wide (2.5 kilometers). All that's holding back the rest of the Wilkins Ice Shelf is a narrow band of ice, which might also give way in the near future. Image courtesy British Antarctic Survey.
     

    "We are in for a lot more events like this," said professor Ted Scambos, a glaciologist at the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado at Boulder.

    Scambos alerted the British Antarctic Survey after he noticed part of the Wilkins ice shelf disintegrating on February 28, when he was looking at NASA satellite images.

    Late February marks the end of summer at the South Pole and is the time when such events are most likely, he said. Video Watch aerial footage of the area »

    "The amazing thing was, we saw it within hours of it beginning, in between the morning and the afternoon pictures of that day," Scambos said of the large chunk that broke away on February 28.

    The Wilkins ice shelf lost about 6 percent of its surface a decade ago, the British Antarctic Survey said in a statement on its Web site

    Another 220 square miles -- including the chunk that Scambos spotted -- had splintered from the ice shelf as of March 8, the group said.

    "As of mid-March, only a narrow strip of shelf ice was protecting several thousand kilometers of potential further breakup," the group said.

    Scambos' center put the size of the threatened shelf at about 5,282 square miles, comparable to the state of Connecticut, or about half the area of Scotland. See a map and photos as the collapse progressed »

    Once Scambos called the British Antarctic Survey, the group sent an aircraft on a reconnaissance mission to examine the extent of the breakout.

    "We flew along the main crack and observed the sheer scale of movement from the breakage," said Jim Elliott, according to the group's Web site.

    "Big hefty chunks of ice, the size of small houses, look as though they've been thrown around like rubble -- it's like an explosion," he said.

    "Wilkins is the largest ice shelf on the Antarctic Peninsula yet to be threatened," David Vaughan of the British Antarctic Survey said, according to the Web site.

    "I didn't expect to see things happen this quickly. The ice shelf is hanging by a thread -- we'll know in the next few days or weeks what its fate will be."

    But with Antarctica's summer ending, Scambos said the "unusual show is over for this season."

    Ice shelves are floating ice sheets attached to the coast. Because they are already floating, their collapse does not have any effect on sea levels, according to the Cambridge-based British Antarctic Survey.

    Scambos said the ice shelf is not currently on the path of the increasingly popular tourist ships that travel from South America to Antarctica. But some plants and animals may have to adapt to the collapse.

    "Wildlife will be impacted, but they are pretty adept at dealing with a topsy-turvy world," he said. "The ecosystem is pretty resilient."

    Several ice shelves -- Prince Gustav Channel, Larsen Inlet, Larsen A, Larsen B, Wordie, Muller and Jones -- have collapsed in the past three decades, the British Antarctic Survey said.

    Larsen B, a 1,254-square-mile ice shelf, comparable in size to the U.S. state of Rhode Island, collapsed in 2002, the group said.

    Scientists say the western Antarctic peninsula -- the piece of the continent that stretches toward South America -- has warmed more than any other place on Earth over the past 50 years, rising by 0.9 degrees Fahrenheit each decade.

    Scambos said the poles will be the leading edge of what's happening in the rest of the world as global warming continues.

    "Even though they seem far away, changes in the polar regions could have an impact on both hemispheres, with sea level rise and changes in climate patterns," he said.

    News of the Wilkins ice shelf's impending breakup came less than two weeks after the United Nations Environment Program reported that the world's glaciers are melting away and that they show "record" losses.

    "Data from close to 30 reference glaciers in nine mountain ranges indicate that between the years 2004-2005 and 2005-2006 the average rate of melting and thinning more than doubled," the UNEP said March 16.

    The most severe glacial shrinking occurred in Europe, with Norway's Breidalblikkbrea glacier, UNEP said. That glacier thinned by about 10 feet in 2006, compared with less than a foot the year before, it said.

 

 Incredible Ice Melt
07-Feb-2008
 
Glaciers are melting in the Arctic and everywhere else, and now a huge ice sheet in Canada is melting as well! The level of the Mediterranean ocean is rising rapidly. Soon this will be common news, all over the world and it’s already affecting the weather right here in the US.

In LiveScience.com, Jeanna Bryner reports that ice fields on Baffin Island in the Arctic have shrunk 50% percent in the past 50 years and will be gone in 50 more. Baffin is the fifth largest island in the world, larger than California, and some the ice fields there formed in pre-Medieval times and have lasted until now. Bryner quotes researcher Gifford Miller as saying, "That tells us right there that the warming of the 20th century is the warmest sustained period of warming in that time. It clearly says we're now warmer than we were in Medieval times. The general trend has been cooling for the past ten thousand years. The fact that they are now receding like mad just makes it even more unusual because the large-scale forcing, how much energy comes in from the sun during the summer months, is getting less and less."

In Canada, there is a massive crack in the Beaufort Sea ice pack, which is off the west coast of Banks Island in the Northwest Territories. This could lead to massive flooding in nearby coastal areas. CBC News quotes researcher David Barber as saying, "We're starting to think this is what the future's going to look like…It's been an extremely interesting year but kind of depressing. It’s interesting in a bad way."

Art credit: NOAA

   

  Gone in Less Than a Week
13-Sep-2007
An area of the Arctic the size of Florida has melted away in just the last six days as the  polar cap continues to melt at a record rate. And not surprisingly, polar bears are starting to disappear as well. There are a lot of mysterious events going on in the far North right now.

On the ABC News website, Clayton Sandell reports that "2007 has already broken the record for the lowest amount of sea ice ever recorded…smashing the old record set in 2005." In just the last six days, researchers say that almost 70,000 square miles of Arctic ice has disappeared, which is a piece the size of the state of Florida.

Sandell quotes polar ice expert Mark Serreze as saying, "If you had asked me a few years ago about how fast the Arctic would be ice free in summer, I would have said somewhere between about 2070 and the turn of the century. My view has changed. I think that an ice-free Arctic as early as 2030 is not unreasonable."

BBC News reports that two-thirds of the world's polar bears will be gone by the middle of the century, and says, “the US Geological Survey (USGS) says that parts of the Arctic are losing summer ice so fast that no bears will be able to live there within several decades."

Related Stories:
02-Oct-2007: Time to Re-Draw Our Maps
25-Sep-2007: What Needs to be Changed…FAST
14-Sep-2007: Is Ancient Bacteria Still a Threat?
29-Aug-2007: MORE Extreme Weather
22-Aug-2007: Coldest Lake is Heating Up
21-Aug-2007: Pole Problems
10-Aug-2007: Extreme Weather—Will it Get Better or Worse?
24-Jul-2007: Weather Woes Grip Planet
18-Jul-2007: Arctic: Still Cold, but Not Cold Enough
11-Jul-2007: Planting Trees Doesn't Always Help

 

Arctic Ice Continues Record Melting

Arctic Ice the Size of Florida Gone in a Week

Scientists report that arctic ice the size of the state of Florida has melted in the last six days. (ABCNEWS) By CLAYTON SANDELL
Sept. 10, 2007
An area of Arctic sea ice the size of Florida has melted away in just the last six days as melting at the top of the planet continues at a record rate.

2007 has already broken the record for the lowest amount of sea ice ever recorded, say scientists, smashing the old record set in 2005.

Currently, there are about 1.63 million square miles of Arctic ice, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo. That is well below the record of 2.05 million square miles set two summers ago and could drop even lower before the final numbers are in.

North Pole's Ice Disappears

From September 3 to September 9, researchers say 69,000 square miles of Arctic ice disappeared, roughly the size of the Sunshine State.

Scientists say the rate of melting in 2007 has been unprecedented, and veteran ice researchers worry the Arctic is on track to be completely ice-free much earlier than previous research and climate models have suggested.

"If you had asked me a few years ago about how fast the Arctic would be ice free in summer, I would have said somewhere between about 2070 and the turn of the century," said scientist Mark Serreze, polar ice expert at the NSIDC. "My view has changed. I think that an ice-free Arctic as early as 2030 is not unreasonable."

Sea ice melt will likely reach the absolute minimum in the next few days as temperatures at the North Pole cool and refreezing begins.

Worldwide Climate Implications

Melting sea ice, unlike land-based glaciers like the ones in Greenland and elsewhere, does not raise sea level. But it does play a major role in regulating the planet's climate by affecting air and ocean currents.

"It will shift some of the weather patterns in ways that we are just beginning to understand," said Robert Correll, a scientist who chairs the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment and is also the climate change director at the Heinz Center for Science, Economics and the Environment in Washington, D.C.

Correll said that white sea ice also acts as a mirror at the top of the planet, reflecting much of the sun's energy back into space. As it melts, it reveals darker water that absorbs more energy from the sun -- further warming the ocean in a process scientists call a "feedback."

"If there is no ice, the ocean is going to continue to heat, and that is going to accelerate the global warming process," said Correll.

In coastal villages throughout the Arctic, less sea ice also means less protection from wind and waves that erode the shoreline. It also means less habitat for animals like polar bears and other marine animals.

Last week, the United States Geological Survey issued a report that found if the ice continued to decline at the current rate, two-thirds of the world's polar bear population will disappear by 2050.

"Our results do give me some concern," said Steve Armstrup, a Polar Bear Project Leader with the USGS. "In Northern Alaska, where I've been working for these years, there may not be polar bears. So as Polar bears go, that probably reflects to a great extent a lot of things that are happening to other organisms in the Arctic system."

Northwest Passage Opening

The melting ice continues to open up the fabled Northwest Passage, long-sought by explorers and shipping companies as a short cut between Europe and East Asia.

Historically, that debate has been largely theoretical because the passage has been frozen and impassable. But in August, satellite images showed the passage has now become more navigable than ever, fueling a hot debate between the United States and Canada over who should control it.

At a summit last month in Montebello, Canada, the leaders of the two nations expressed their disagreement.

"Canada's position is that we intend to strengthen our sovereignty in the Arctic area, not only military, but economic, social, environmental and others," said Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

"We believe it's an international passageway," President Bush countered a moment later.

The  latest satellite image shows a clear, wide path running through the Arctic that has major implications for global commerce.

For example, ships that must currently go around South America's Cape Horn because they are too big to traverse the Panama Canal could save about 10,000 miles out of their shipping route.

The passage also saves about 5,000 miles when shipping between Europe and Asia.

Canada, the United States and Denmark are also competing for resources as melting Arctic ice reveals potential deposits of oil and gas.
A mini-submarine placed a Russian flag at the North Pole last month in a symbolic claim to that country's share of Arctic resources.

Environmental groups worry that increased traffic through the Arctic could put the natural resources in jeopardy if there is an oil spill or other disaster in the remote region.

http://www.abcnews.go.com/Technology/GlobalWarming/story?id=3582433&page=1

 

GREAT LAKE DRYING UP - LAKE SUPERIOR

6-18-07

A sandbar rises above water level in a channel between the coal loading dock and grain elevators along St. Louis Bay in Superior, Wis. Lake Superior has 3 quadrillion gallons of water -- enough to submerge North and South America in a foot of water.

By Julia Cheng, AP

The case of the disappearing Great Lake

Ice from Lake Superior gathers near the lighthouse on Wisconsin Point near Superior, Wis. Even with warmer temperatures the ice still remains from this past winter.

BARAGA, Mich. — "Where did the water go?" asks Ted Shalifor, manager of a marina and campground on Lake Superior's Chippewa Indian Reservation.

The water on Lake Superior is so low that he couldn't put his docks in the water this year. Where he used to see water, he now sees sandbars.

Lake Superior, the world's largest freshwater lake, has dropped to its lowest level in 81 years. The water is 20 inches below average and a foot lower than just a year ago.

The dropping levels have had serious environmental and economic consequences. Wetlands have dried up. Power plants run at half capacity. Cargo ships carry partial loads. Boaters struggle to find a place to dock.

Marquette Parks and Recreation director Hugh Leslie gestures at what the water level used to be at in the Presque Isle Marina in Marquette, Mich.

The changes can be seen all along the 2,800-mile shore of Lake Superior, the coldest and deepest of the Great Lakes. The water has receded, sometimes 50 feet or more, from its normal shoreline.

Lake Huron and Lake Michigan are at low levels, as well, although not quite as extreme.

Researchers at the University of Minnesota and elsewhere study whether Lake Superior's low water levels are a result of global warming. The average water temperature of Lake Superior has risen 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit since 1979.

A drought and warm weather are the immediate cause of the drop in water levels. In the past year, precipitation was 6 inches less than the average of 31 inches. The lake's southern shore had a green Christmas in 2006. The ice and snow pack that usually cover the lake arrived late, allowing water to evaporate.

"It's been a long time since we've been this low, but it has happened," says Tim Calappi, a hydraulic engineer for the Army Corps of Engineers, which tracks water levels. "We still think this is within the range of what's normal, but we have to wait and see."

Superior isn't the only prominent North American lake or reservoir at a severely low level. Lake Mead near Las Vegas and Lake Powell on the Utah-Arizona border are about half full. Florida's Lake Okeechobee recently set a record low.

Many people living near Lake Superior don't buy drought or warm weather as the reasons for dropping water levels — a conspiracy theory is more popular. They say Lake Superior was drained through the St. Mary's River to raise the levels of Lake Huron and Lake Michigan.

"It's like the tide went out and didn't come back," says Dan Alexander, a commercial fisherman in Baraga. "We know what it is. They drained the lake." The water is so low he had to find a new place to dock his 38-foot boat.

Calappi says it's a myth that the Army Corps drains Lake Superior to help other lakes with presumably more powerful benefactors. He says the amount of water that flows out of Lake Superior is established by an international agreement with Canada. The water flow is regulated by how much water is permitted to pass through hydroelectric plants on the St. Mary's River, which connects Lake Superior and Lake Huron and, indirectly, Lake Michigan.

The Edison Sault Electric power plant in Sault Ste. Marie, Mich., will operate at less than 50% capacity this year because its water flows have been slashed as a result of the low lake levels, the company said. That pushed the company to buy high-cost power elsewhere and increase rates.

Other problems:

•Cargo ships run partly empty, especially those that carry heavy materials such as coal and iron ore.

On a recent trip, the 1,004-foot freighter James R. Barker had to leave 7,000 tons of coal behind, so the boat would draft 26 feet under water, instead of 29 feet.

"We need more rain, and we need more dredging," says Robert Dorn, senior vice president of Interlake Steamship Co., which owns the ship.

Adolph Ojard, executive director of the Duluth (Minn.) Seaway Port Authority, says cargo ships have lightened loads about 5%. For ships averaging $6 a cargo ton and making 40 trips a year, that amounts to about $1 million in lost revenue per ship, he says.

•Large beds of wild rice that grow in wetlands have gone dry. Wild rice beds in the Kakagon Slough of Bad River in Wisconsin have been hit particularly hard.

•Recreational boaters find fewer berths everywhere along Lake Superior. Smaller boats compete for fewer spaces. Owners of big boats not suitable for shallow water are sometimes forced to move on or spend the night in deeper waters.

In Marquette, Mich., the water is so low, the city had to build two-step stairs for people to walk down to their boats. The landings are supposed to be level with the boats.

"It's a mess. There's not much to tell people with deep-keeled sailboats other than, 'There's no place for you anywhere,' " says Hugh Leslie, parks and recreation director in Marquette (pop. 20,714), the largest Michigan town on the lake.

'We're not really beach people'

In Marquette, boulders line the shore to prevent waves from washing out Lakeshore Boulevard. Today, the lake is more than 50 feet from the road.

The receding water has created wide swaths of scenic beach, but even this has created problems. Changing currents at South Beach in Marquette carved a 4-foot crevice in the popular family beach. "It cut the beach in half and exposed drainage pipes," Leslie says.

Elsewhere along Lake Superior, the beaches are wider than usual but they aren't expected to attract larger crowds. Because of the cold, "here in Duluth, we're not really beach people," says Ann Norris of the city's Parks and Recreation Department.

Scott Brossart, engineer for the Army Corps in Duluth, says some dredging will be done to make the commercial channels in Lake Superior ports a little deeper. In Washington, Congress is considering more money for dredging. But the corps doesn't work in recreational harbors.

"We're getting requests to dredge from everywhere this year, but I have to tell them we don't do that," Brossart says.

Away from shore, Lake Superior is doing fine. A 19-inch drop doesn't make a big difference in a lake that is 1,330 feet at its deepest.

The fishing has never been better. Alexander says he's catching huge amounts of trout and whitefish. For now, he's waiting, like everyone else, for the water to rise.

"It seemed normal last October," Shalifor says. "Then it dropped and never came back."

Contributing: David Onze of the St. Cloud (Minn.) Times


Scientists, governments clash over climate report

6-17-07

Ice caves from the Perito Moreno glacier in the Parque Nacional Los Glaciares in Argentina. The Perito Moreno is one of only three Patagonian glaciers that are not retreating due to global warming, scientists say. Himalayan glaciers in Asia and Alpine glaciers in Europe are also expected to melt.

 
BRUSSELS — After a marathon session that saw angry exchanges between diplomats and scientists, an international global warming conference approved a major report on climate change Friday.

"We have an approved accord. It has been a complex exercise," conference chairman Rajendra Pachauri told reporters after an all-night meeting.

Several scientists objected to the editing of the final draft by government negotiators, the Associated Press reported, but in the end agreed to compromises. However, some scientists on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change vowed never to take part in the process again, the AP reported.
 

"The authors lost," one participant told the AP. "A lot of authors are not going to engage in the IPCC process anymore. I have had it with them," he said, speaking on condition of anonymity because the proceedings were supposed to remain confidential. An AP reporter, however, witnessed part of the final meeting.
 

The climax of five days of negotiations was reached when the delegates removed parts of key charts highlighting devastating effects of climate change that kick in with every rise of 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit, and in a tussle over the level of confidence attached to key statements.

The charts have been called a "highway to extinction" because they show that with every degree of warming, the condition of much of the world worsens — with starvation, floods and the disappearance of species.

Those charts "tell us there's a danger in the future," said Belgian delegate Julian Vandeburie, who is in the science policy branch of his government.

The United States, China and Saudi Arabia raised the most objections to the phrasing, most often seeking to tone down the certainty of some of the more dire projections.

Still, "the bottom line is that climate change is having impacts on natural ecosystems, plants, animals and humans," said Sharon Hays, leader of the U.S. delegation.

Hays said that "not all projected impacts are negative," noting it is possible farming yields could increase in parts of the USA. However, "increasingly negative and significant impacts are possible" with rising global temperatures, she noted.

Despite the disagreements, the final report is the clearest and most comprehensive scientific statement to date on the impact of global warming mainly caused by man-induced carbon dioxide pollution.

It predicts that up to 30% of species face an increase risk of extinction if global temperatures rise 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit above the average in the 1980s and 90s.

Areas that now suffer a shortage of rain will become even more dry, adding to the risks of hunger and disease, it said. The world will face heightened threats of flooding, severe storms and the erosion of coastlines.

The summary of the report will be presented to the G-8 summit of the world's richest nations in June, when the European Union is expected to renew appeals to President Bush to join in international efforts to control emissions of fossil fuels.

Dispute before agreement

The conference had earlier lapsed into an unprecedented showdown between scientists and diplomats over authors' concerns that governments were watering down their warnings.

A dramatic dispute between the scientific authors of the report and its diplomatic editors erupted over a paragraph in the 21-page summary regarding how much confidence the scientists have in their findings, the AP reported.

The report concerns the effects global warming is already having and will have on life on Earth. The disputed paragraph centered on what has already happened.

The paragraph originally said scientists had "very high confidence" — which means more than 90% chance of accuracy — in the statement that many natural systems around the globe "are being affected by regional climate changes, particularly temperature increases."

After days of intensive small group negotiations over this section, delegates from China and Saudi Arabia on Friday insisted that the confidence be reduced to "high confidence" which means more than 80% accuracy.

Three top scientists-authors formally objected to the change by the diplomats, including American scientist David Karoly of the University of Oklahoma. The scientists said it was an unprecedented weakening of the scientific confidence that was not raised when the report was circulated the past several months.

In the hurry to get the report finished before its 4 a.m. ET release and press conference, diplomats forced the last-minute removal and altering of parts of the iconic table, which shows the ill effects of warming with each 1.8 degree increase in temperature, scientists and other delegates told the AP.

Patricia Romero Lankao, a sociologist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., confirmed to USA TODAY that delegates from the United States, China and Saudi Arabia forced the writers of the report summary to "downplay" the level of certainly about the damage to the environment and species by human-caused warming. "That was a really hard discussion," she said.

Stanford University biologist Terry Root, one of the impact report's writers, said: ?It is really of concern if governments are allowed to rewrite some of the science, changing some of what we know at a very high confidence level. I?m concerned. We?re jeopardizing the power that the IPCC report carries.?

Draft was 'diluted'

A final draft of the report obtained by the AP — written by scientists before government officials forced the changes — said "roughly 20-30% of species are likely to be at high risk of irreversible extinction" if global average temperature rises by 2.7 to 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit.

That part has been "diluted," said retired scientist Ian Burton, who attended the session on behalf of the Stockholm Environment Institute.

Another delegate told the AP that the amended version hedged on the sweep of the original text, inserting a reference to species "assessed so far."

Guy Midgley of the National Botanical Institute in South Africa, a lead author of the chapter on ecosystems that includes extinctions, said the changes will be "commensurate with the science."

Another prolonged tussle emerged over whether to include estimated costs of damage from climate change — calculated per ton of carbon dioxide emissions, delegates told the AP on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media.

The entire final draft report, obtained last week by the AP, has 20 chapters, supplements, two summaries and totals 1,572 pages. This week's wrangling was over the 21-page summary for policymakers.

It is the second of four reports from the IPCC this year; the first report in February laid out the scientific case for how global warming is happening. This second report is the "so what" report, explaining what the effects of global warming will be.

Vandeburie compared the world's current situation to the Munich peace conference in 1938, when Britain and France had a choice between confronting Hitler and appeasing him: "We are at the same moment. We have to decide on doing something or not."

"This report will help us focus on significant negative impacts" in developing nations less resilient than the USA, James L. Connaughton, chairman of the White House Council on Environmental Quality, said after it was released.

Root said the effect that warming already is having on Earth is critical. "The resilience of ecosystems are starting to be compromised and are going to continue to be compromised," she said, including likely extinction for 20% to 30% of the known wild species.

"If that doesn't wake people up, I'm not sure what will," she said.

Jonathan Patz, a University of Wisconsin-Madison scientist, said the report shows climate change will be "one of the most challenging environmental public health threats of this millennium." More frequent and worse heat waves will be exacerbated in urban areas because of the "heat island" effect of so much concrete, asphalt and construction and because of worse ozone pollution or smog.

"The average number of heat-wave days in Los Angeles could more than double in the next few decades," said Patz, a lead author of the impact report's chapter on North America. "Studies in the IPCC report, for the eastern United States, show that just with temperature warming alone the eastern U.S. may see a 68% increase in the number of red 'ozone alert' days by 2050."

Patz also said the particular American strain of the West Nile virus could thrive in a warmer climate. He said a recent study shows for that strain "a particularly sensitivity to warm temperatures, more so than other strains."

Contributing: The Associated Press; USA TODAY's Dan Vergano and Patrick O'Driscoll


 


 

 

 
LiveScience Staff

Tue May 15, 4:45 PM ET

Warm temperatures melted an area of western Antarctica that adds up to the size of California in January 2005, scientists report.

Satellite data collected by the scientists between July 1999 and July 2005 showed clear signs that melting had occurred in multiple distinct regions, including far inland and at high latitudes and elevations, where melt had been considered unlikely.

"Antarctica has shown little to no warming in the recent past with the exception of the Antarctic Peninsula," said Konrad Steffen of the University of Colorado, Boulder. "But now large regions are showing the first signs of the impacts of warming as interpreted by this satellite analysis."

Changes in the ice mass of Antarctica, Earth's largest freshwater reservoir, are important to understanding global sea level rise. Large amounts of Antarctic freshwater flowing into the ocean also could affect ocean salinity, currents and global climate.

NASA's QuikScat satellite detected snowmelt by radar pulses that bounce off of ice that formed when snowmelt refroze (just as ice cream turns to ice when it is refrozen after being left out on the counter too long.)

Maximum high temperatures of 41 degrees Fahrenheit that persisted for about a week in Antarctica caused a melt intense enough to create an extensive ice layer.

Evidence of melting was found up to 560 miles inland from the open ocean, farther than 85 degrees south (about 310 miles from the South Pole) and higher than 6,600 feet above sea level.

Water from the melted snow can penetrate cracks and the ice, lubricating the continent's ice sheets, sending them toward the ocean faster and raising sea levels, the scientists said.

"Increases in snowmelt, such as this in 2005, definitely could have an impact on larger scale melting of Antarctica's ice sheets if they were severe or sustained over time," Steffen said.

No further melting has been detected through March 2007.

 

http://www.nytimes.com/ 
5-6-07

BECCLES JOURNAL: GREAT BRITAIN 

GLOBAL WARMING: AS THE CLIMATE DRAMATICALLY CHANGES, CHUNKS OF ENGLAND's COAST CRUMBLE INTO THE OCEAN! / LARGE ACRES OF FARMLAND HAVE DISAPPEARED IN ONE WINTER! / MILLIONS OF "ENVIRONMENTAL REFUGEES" ARE EXPECTED BY 2050 and 60 MILLION PEOPLE WILL LOSE THEIR COASTAL HOMES BY 2080! –
By Elisabeth Rosenthal,
The New York Times, Sunday, May 6, 2007

EXTREME CLIMATE CHANGE FLASHPOINT: LAND LOSS at Benacre "HAS ACCELERATED DRAMATICALLY,"  said Mark Venmore-Roland, the estate's manager. "At first it was like a chap losing his hair — bit by bit, so you'd get used to it." But in the past few years, he said, "IT's BEEN REALLY FRIGHTENING."

BECCLES, England — This winter a 50-foot-wide strip of Roger Middleditch's sugar-beet field fell into the North Sea, his rich East Anglian lands reduced by a large fraction of their acreage. The adjacent potato field, once 23 acres, is now less than 3 — too small to plant at all, he said.

Each spring Mr. Middleditch, a tenant farmer on the vast Benacre Estate here, meets with its managers to recalculate his rent, depending on HOW MUCH LAND HAS BEEN EATEN UP BY ENCROACHING WATER. As he stood in a muddy field by the roaring sea recently, he tried to estimate how close he dared to plant this season.

"We've LOST SO MUCH THESE LAST FEW YEARS," he said. "You plant, and by harvest it's fallen into the water."

Coastal erosion has been a fact of life here for a century, because the land under East Anglia is slowly sinking. But the EROSION HAS NEVER BEEN AS QUICK  and cataclysmic as it has been in recent years, an EFFECT OF
CLIMATE CHANGE AND GLOBAL WARMING, many scientists say.

To make matters worse for coastal farmers, the government has stopped maintaining large parts of the network of seawalls that once protected the area. Under a new policy that scientists have labeled "managed retreat," governments around the globe are concluding that it is not worth taxpayer money to fight every inevitable effect of climate change.

LAND LOSS at Benacre "HAS ACCELERATED DRAMATICALLY," said Mark Venmore-Roland, the estate's manager. "At first it was like a chap losing his hair — bit by bit, so you'd get used to it." But in the past few years, he said, "IT's BEEN REALLY FRIGHTENING."

A report this year from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates that rising seas WILL FORCE 60 MILLION PEOPLE AWAY FROM THEIR COASTAL HOMES and jobs by the year 2080.

Another study, the Stern Report, released last December by the British government, projected hundreds of MILLIONS OF "ENVIRONMENTAL REFUGEES" by 2050. That category includes people whose land is ruined by floods and those whose pastures are parched by drought.

Most are expected to be poor people in developing countries, like fishermen in Asia or shepherds in Africa. Mr. Middleditch, a grizzled, balding man in Wellington boots, and Mr. Venmore-Roland, with his upper-class accent, plush yellow corduroy trousers and walking stick, are certainly not typical of this group. But their plight shows that even here in Europe, livelihoods are being affected, particularly in rural areas.

Walkers and birders who frequent these famous Broads, or salt marshes, will find that the hiking path through Benacre that once gently declined from a low grassy plateau toward the beach, now ends in a precipitous drop of 16 feet to the water; the rest fell into the sea in February.

The 6,000-acre Benacre Estate is losing swaths of land 30 feet wide along its entire two miles of coastline each year. Inland trees that were once sold for timber are dying or no longer commercially valuable, because the proximity to the salty sea air has left them stunted.

Farmers like Mr. Middleditch are losing fields and trying to adjust crops to an unpredictable climate. Mr. Middleditch is now planting hemp. In Cornwall, in southwestern England, warmer and wetter weather has led farmers to experiment with growing jalapeño peppers.

As climate change has accelerated erosion on the east coast of Britain, many scientists and politicians have decided that it no longer makes sense to defend the land. Under the policy of managed retreat, farms, nature preserves and villages are surrendered to the sea.

"This land is very sensitive to climate change because it is very low-lying and doesn't tolerate high temperatures like we've had the last few summers," said David Viner, a climate expert at the University of East Anglia.

"The government will only protect land it thinks of as economically important, and on an economic level you can say that makes sense, but of course that's not the whole picture."

A landmark scientific report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, released in February, predicted that warming caused by human activities could produce rises in sea level of 7 to 23 inches, accompanied by much stormier weather, by the end of the century.

In Indonesia, the environment minister predicted that 2,000 of the country's islands could be swallowed by the seas in 30 years and said that little can be done to defend them. In wealthier regions, vast engineering projects can often prevent the sea's encroachment, Mr. Viner said, but the cost is often so high that it becomes politically unacceptable.

Here in the Broads, there are conflicts about who deserves to be spared the effects of climate change, and what should be sacrificed to the advancing water. Local council meetings have pitted conservation groups against farmers; landowners against environmentalists; national politicians against villagers. Then there is the question of who, if
anyone, should compensate people for the land and income lost.

Farmers and landowner groups are calling for government payments and for a voice in deciding what must be saved. They would also like permission to build their own private sea defenses. Last year, Peter Boggis, a farmer whose land abuts Benacre, paid a contractor to add dirt to the bottom of the sea cliff that abuts his land. He was ordered to stop,
after conservation groups said he was tampering with a site of scientific interest.

Farther up the coast, four or five homes from the village of Happisburgh fall into the sea each year, as the cliff beneath them crumbles. While they appeal for help, the North Norfolk District Council and Coastal Concern Action Limited have started to shore up Happisburgh's cliff with rocks, financed in part by an Internet campaign,

"Buy a Rock for Happisburgh."

"The U.K. won't let London flood," Mr. Viner said, "but the national government's not going to worry about an odd village or farm."
------------------------------------------
© Copyright 2007 The New York Times Company
 

Mars Is Warming, NASA Scientists Report

Data coincide with increasing solar output
Written By: James M. Taylor
Published In: Environment News
Publication Date: November 1, 2005
Publisher: The Heartland Institute
 
 

The planet Mars is undergoing significant global warming, new data from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) show, lending support to many climatologists' claims that the Earth's modest warming during the past century is due primarily to a recent upsurge in solar energy.


Martian Ice Shrinking Dramatically

According to a September 20 NASA news release, "for three Mars summers in a row, deposits of frozen carbon dioxide near Mars' south pole have shrunk from the previous year's size, suggesting a climate change in progress." Because a Martian year is approximately twice as long as an Earth year, the shrinking of the Martian polar ice cap has been ongoing for at least six Earth years.

The shrinking is substantial. According to Michael Malin, principal investigator for the Mars Orbiter Camera, the polar ice cap is shrinking at "a prodigious rate."

"The images, documenting changes from 1999 to 2005, suggest the climate on Mars is presently warmer, and perhaps getting warmer still, than it was several decades or centuries ago," reported Yahoo News on September 20.


Solar Link Possible

Scientists are not sure whether the Martian warming is entirely due to Mars-specific forces or may be the result of other forces, such as increasing solar output, which would explain much of the recent asserted warming of the Earth as well.

Sallie Baliunas, chair of the Science Advisory Board at the George C. Marshall Institute, said, "Pluto, like Mars, is also undergoing warming." However, Baliunas speculated it is "likely not the sun but long-term processes on Mars and Pluto" causing the warming. However, until more information is gathered, Baliunas said, it is difficult to know for sure.

Pat Michaels, past president of the American Association of State Climatologists and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, similarly expressed a desire for more information about the Martian climate. "What is the internal dynamic that is warming Mars?" asked Michaels. "Given the fact that there are not a lot of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions on Mars, and given the fact that new research indicates that 10 to 30 percent estimated conservatively of Earth's recent warming is due to increased solar output, the Martian warming may support that new research."


Models May Be Wrong

The new research mentioned by Michaels is the October 2 release of findings by Duke University scientists that "at least 10 to 30 percent of global warming measured during the past two decades may be due to increased solar output rather than factors such as increased heat-absorbing carbon dioxin gas released by various human activities."

"The problem is that Earth's atmosphere is not in thermodynamic equilibrium with the sun," Duke associate research scientist Nicola Scafetta explained in a Duke University news release. Moreover, "the longer the time period [that the Earth's atmosphere is not in thermodynamic equilibrium] the stronger the effect will be on the atmosphere, because it takes time to adapt."

Examining a 22-year interval of reliable solar data going back to 1980, the Duke scientists were able to filter out shorter-range effects that can influence surface temperatures but are not related to global warming. Such effects include volcanic eruptions and ocean current changes such as El Niño.

Applying their long-term data, the Duke scientists concluded, "the sun may have minimally contributed about 10 to 30 percent of the 1980-2002 global surface warming."

"[Greenhouse] gases would still give a contribution, but not so strong as was thought," Scafetta observed.


Several Forces Affect Temperature

"We don't know what the sun will do in the future," Scafetta added. "For now, if our analysis is correct, I think it is important to correct the climate models so that they include reliable sensitivity to solar activity."

Iain Murray, senior fellow and global warming specialist at the Competitive Enterprise Institute, said the Mars warming adds another level of uncertainty to claims that the Earth's modest recent warming is a result of human activity. "It is probably too much to claim that any one source is the principal driver of the warming trend on Earth," said Murray.

"The number of significant temperature forcings on the climate system grows yearly as we get to know more and more about it, but we really are at a very early stage of our exploration of this very complex system," Murray noted. "If all the estimates are true about the relative effects of forcings like the sun, black carbon, and greenhouse gases, then it is quite possible that we would have been in a sharply cooling phase over recent years were it not for these forcings. In which case, one might say, thank goodness for global warming!"

James M. Taylor (taylor@heartland.org) is managing editor of Environment & Climate News.

For more information ...

The September 30 news release announcing the findings of the Duke University research, "Sun's Direct Role in Global Warming May Be Underestimated, Duke Physicists Report," is available online at http://www.dukenews.duke.edu/2005/09/sunwarm.html.

 

Subject: Svalbard ice melting
Date: Sun, 4 Mar 2007

Svalbard ice melting

The glaciers on arctic Svalbard are melting faster than researchers believed and the pace has accelerated over the past five years.
 
Over 16 cubic kilometers of ice from the many Svalbard glaciers vanishes each year. At the same time record summer temperatures have been measured in Longyearbyen, and snowfall has declined.
 
The resulting changes have already been highly visible, with new islands appearing, and the Blomstrand peninsula being revealed as an island after the retreat of glacial ice.
 
"We see a clear and dramatic change," said Kim Holmén, research director at the Norwegian Polar Institute. He believes the reduction in ice is due to warmer climate and said that recent research indicates that the consequences of global climate change is first registered in the Arctic.
 
"Svalbard is now a greater contributor to the world's rising sea level than we previously believed," Holmén said.
 
"The volume of the glaciers is being reduced. One thing is that they retreat, at least as dramatic is that they are also becoming thinner," said glacier researcher Jack Kohler at the Norwegian Polar Institute. He has worked with the Svalbard glaciers for many years and can state that they are being reduced by 60-70 centimeters (23.6-27.5 inches) in thickness per year.
 
On Thursday the International Polar Year (IPY) begins, with thousands of researchers from over 60 nations concentrating on polar research. Climate changes and their consequences will be a central theme and much of the research will take place at Svalbard and in the adjacent region.
 
Aftenposten's Norwegian reporter
Ole Magnus Rapp
Aftenposten English Web Desk
Jonathan Tisdall
   
http://www.aftenposten.no/english/local/article1667963.ece

 

Subject: Vanishing giant
Date: Sun, 4 Mar 2007

The glacier is now clearly split, with the smaller piece just visible off to the left.
PHOTO: NVE

Vanishing giant

The bottom portion of Norway's Storbreen (Big Glacier) in Jotunheimen has split in two and is steadily melting.
 
This photo from autumn 2005 shows the glacier in retreat, one visible indication being the more prominent crag in the center of the photo.
PHOTO: NVE

A 3D model image that shows the glacier's range over time, with the lowest mark coming from around 1750, a period known as Norway's 'little ice age'.
PHOTO: NVE
 
Several years of warm summers and poor snowfall have left Bretunga, the lower part of the glacier, in poor shape.
 
"The glacier is now clearly divided in two. Less than ten years ago it was completely joined there at the bottom," Liss Marie Andreassen, glaciologist at the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE), told Aftenposten.no.
 
Andreassen's doctorate focused on Storbreen. She says that the glacier has retreated around 60 meters due to melting since 1997, and since measurements began in 1949, the ice has melted about 500 meters back from its previous edge.
 
More or less all of Norway's glaciers are now on the retreat according to the NVE. They are shrinking in both length and volume, and the trend has been clear since the beginning of the 20th century.
 
According to the research project RegClim, 1,600 Norwegian glaciers can be gone within the next hundred years, leaving only about 30. Andreassen would not give unconditional support to this prognosis.
 
"There is no doubt that many of the smaller glaciers will disappear if global warming continues. And many of the larger glaciers will greatly decrease in volume. But saying something about the situation in 100 years is difficult," she said.
 
"It depends on how warm it will be and how much precipitation falls. For example, it isn't unthinkable that there will be significantly more precipitation in the mountains in coming years. In this case it would lead to better conditions for coastal glaciers," Andreassen said.
 
According to the NVE about 98 percent of all electricity in Norway is generated from hydropower and the glaciers play a vital role in this process.
 
"About 15 percent of the water power comes from water systems with significant amounts of glacial water, and in drier years glaciers regulate water flow," said Andreassen, who also noted that glaciers are an important indicator of climate change.
 
"Glaciers react quickly to changes in temperature and precipitation, and provide much useful information to climate researchers," she said.
 
Aftenposten's Norwegian reporter
Kjetil Olsen
Aftenposten English Web Desk
 

 

Melting ice caps are forcing polar bears further inland
 

Island people swallowed by the sea

This week saw the launch of International Polar Year, an initiative in which scientists from 60 countries will study the Arctic and Antarctic, with the major focus on climate change.

The BBC's David Willis travelled to the remote Alaskan island of Shishmaref, a community that is being destroyed by climate change.
 
It is not quite the end of the world but you could probably see it from here.
 
Shishmaref loomed as a dot on the landscape as our twin-engined Cessna cargo plane cut through snow-capped mountains.
 
We had flown to the edge of the Arctic circle, to a wilderness captivatingly beautiful yet inhospitably remote - a land where it seemed human beings were never meant to live.
 
At the cliff's edge
 
I was last here nearly three years ago to witness the effects of global warming on this community of nearly 600 people.
 
For several decades the people of this barrier island have been fighting a losing battle with nature.
 
Not only are the glaciers melting, causing sea levels to rise, but the frozen ground on which the village was built - also known as permafrost - is thawing, making the ground crumble like sand.
 
Shishmaref is a community that is literally being swallowed by the sea.
 
Village elder Tony Weyiouanna estimates the tide moves an average of 10 feet (three metres) closer to the land every year.
Two homes have already toppled into the sea, others have wilted and buckled and now teeter ominously at the cliff's edge.
 
Tony told me that since I was last here the village had decided - very reluctantly - to relocate.
 
What they had yet to agree on was where to.
 
This close-knit Inuit community has been here for generations. Where they live defines who they are - the fear is that relocation could leave their subsistence lifestyle under threat.
 
A greater concern, Tony told me, was that a heavy storm could sweep the entire community into the sea.
 
"We need to preserve our village before that happens," he told me, "right now we're living on borrowed time."
 
Washington delegation
 
Grocer Percy Nietpuck says anyone who doubts the existence of global warming should pay Shishmaref a visit.
 
Amid the frozen sea he has recently observed clouds of steam - a sign that the ice, once thick and stable, is cracking.
 
The fact that the village could disappear virtually at any moment has everyone worried - there have even been some suicides.
 
As we spoke the mercury was nudging -30C, bone chilling for a man of my warm-blooded Western sensibilities, positively tropical for the people here.
 
On the short plane ride from the nearby town of Nome (whose local newspaper bears the slogan: 'There's no place like Nome') we met Malcolm Henry.
 
He wore a baseball cap, loose-fitting jacket and Hawaiian shorts.
 
Protruding from the shorts were legs impressively devoid of goose-pimples.
 
"You must be freezing?" I suggested from beneath a balaclava and six layers of clothing.
 
"Man, this is warm for the time of year. I remember when it was -40C with a wind-chill factor of -60."
 
Everywhere we went the anecdotal evidence suggested that Alaska's winters are not only getting warmer but shorter, and its summers longer.
 
And the impact extends to wildlife as well: shortly after we arrived local television was carrying reports about efforts to have polar bears listed as an endangered species.
 
The ice caps on which they live are melting - no prizes for guessing why - causing them to come further inland to look for food and thus making them easier prey for local hunters.
 
Later this month a delegation from Shishmaref and other communities threatened by global warming (estimates suggest that more than 180 Alaskan villages are feeling the impact of flooding and erosion) will travel to Washington DC to provide evidence that climate change is destroying their way of life.
 
They will also argue that US energy policies - and the Bush administration's position on greenhouse gases - are to blame for the problem, and constitute an infringement of their basic human rights.
 
Whatever effect their efforts may have some believe it is already too late.
 
The impact of global warming is vivid. Just ask the people of Shishmaref.
 
 
HOT! Global Warming: Warmest January ever recorded worldwide in 2007!

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070217/sc_afp/usweatherclimate

HOT! GET YOUR FOSTER GRANTS OUT! GLOBAL WARMING REALITY CHECK: WARMEST JANUARY EVER RECORDED WORLDWIDE IN 2007: U.S. SCIENTISTS! ˆ
AFP, Monday, February 19,  2007

NEW YORK ˆ World temperatures in January were the highest ever recorded for that month of the year, U.S. government scientists said.

"The combined global land and ocean surface temperature was the highest for any January on record," according to scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climate Data Center in Asheville, N.C.

The combined global land and ocean surface temperature was 1.53 degrees Fahrenheit (0.85 Celsius) warmer than the 20th-century average of 53.6 degrees F (12 C) for January based on preliminary data, NOAA said.

The figures surpass the previous record set in 2002 at 1.28 F (0.71 C) above average. Land surface temperature was a record 3.40 F (1.89 C) warmer than average, while global ocean surface temperature was the fourth warmest in 128 years, about 0.1 F (0.05 C) cooler than the record established during the very strong El Nino climate phenomenon in 1998.

A moderate El Nino started in September and continued into January before weakening, NOAA said. El Nino is an occasional seasonal warming of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean that upsets normal weather patterns from the western seaboard of Latin America to East Africa, and potentially has a global impact on climate.

"The presence of El Nino along with the continuing global warming trend contributed to the record warm January," NOAA said. "The unusually warm conditions contributed to the second lowest January snow cover extent on record for the Eurasian continent," it said.

"During the past century, global surface temperatures have increased at a rate near 0.11 F (0.06 C) per decade, but the rate of increase has been three times larger since 1976, or 0.32 F (0.18 C) per decade, with
some of the largest temperature increases occurring in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere," it said.
------------------------------------------
CLIMATE CHANGE RESOURCE PAGE:


http://www.nhne.org/tabid/490/Default.aspx
------------------------------------------
© 2007 AFP / Yahoo! News
 
Sunday, 4 February 2007
Jakarta floods death toll rises Large swathes of Jakarta are under water
 
At least 20 people have been killed and 340,000 made homeless by massive floods that have swept through the Indonesian capital, Jakarta.
 
Three days of torrential rain have caused rivers to burst their banks, sending muddy water up to 3m (10ft) deep into homes and businesses.  Authorities say the city of nine million people is now on its highest level of alert.
The floods are said to be the worst to hit Jakarta for five years.
Meteorologists have warned the downpour is likely to continue for another week, and with heavy rains falling on hilly regions to the south, more flooding is threatened.
 
Power cuts
 
Rising floodwaters have cut water supplies and communications to parts of the city and forced medical teams to use boats and helicopters to reach many of those left stranded.
 
More than 670,000 people have been left without electricity.
 
Staff manning a key floodgate in the east of the capital said it had failed and the water flowing in had caused the main canal to burst its banks.
 
Some main roads have been closed and patients in some hospitals moved to upper floors.
 
The dea